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Our Physician Demand Model

3d Health projects demand for physician services using our proprietary Physician Demand Model. The model was developed with utilization data purchased from the leading actuarial firm Milliman. The commercial physician encounter rates are based on Milliman’s proprietary database from nationwide commercial group data representing encounters from over 550 million member months. Medicare encounter rates are based on the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services’ 5% sample data file, which is comprised of data representing encounters from over 13.8 million member months.

3d Health’s baseline Physician Demand Model projects demand for both physician and non-physician provider services for a traditionally managed patient population. The utilization data is age and gender specific across 46 provider specialties and 25 pediatric sub-specialties. The model is also capable of adjusting the projected demand for physician services across the continuum from loosely to well-managed care, allowing you to better plan for population health management and the expected impact on demand for physician services.

3d Health compiles, tests, and iterates our provider supply databases using a variety of sources, including your provider rosters, competitor hospital rosters, mailing list data, CMS data, the AMA Masterfile, physician practice websites, Yelp, Healthgrades, Vitals, and other online resources. In addition, 3d Health verifies records with primary research and typically makes outbound telephone calls to 85-90% of the physicians within the database.

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